Wednesday, January 3, 2024

Poverty and population: How demographics shape policy

 

Fred Allebach

12/30/23

 

Columbia School of Social Work

Fred’s notes on free audit of Coursera course

Poverty and population: How demographics shape policy

 

Assumptions about poverty’s causes are critical

depends on how and on what you measure

 

Defining poverty

relative or absolute poverty?

absolute = # of calories and shelter needed to survive

in a wealthy area like North Bay, many are relatively poor

People who have 50, 60, 80% of MHI are poor, a relative measure

In CA, <80% MHI is disadvantaged

Disadvantaged is on a spectrum from cost-burdened to poverty

In US, poverty based on idea of value of a “food basket” and how much needed to spend on it

However, US poverty does not adjust for regional diffs, housing costs., healthcare, childcare, no COLA

Inflation erodes whatever buying power people have

In SV, food is wicked expensive, a food basket COLA is called for here

 

Official measure underestimates poverty by a lot

US poverty now for family of 4 is $25,000 based on 1960s presumption that 1/3 ($8000) is for food, 3 x 8000= 25,000

Current research, families actually spend @ one seventh or 14% of income in food

It’s reasonable to multiply poverty by 7 rather than 3; 7 = $58,500 for family of four

$58,500 is current poverty level for family of four

This is close to the <80% state MHI level

 

US Census ACS data for Sonoma Valley Block Groups plus Covered California’s CA poverty chart plus DUC/ DAC definition of disadvantaged measures show that <80% state MHI in Sonoma Valley is equivalent to between 200% and 400% times the federal poverty rate, depending  on family size.  https://www.coveredca.com/pdfs/FPL-chart.pdf

 

If you are at 150x the federal poverty rate, chances are you are homeless bc no one can afford a home at that level of income, you are in the gutter.

 

Thus, the level of cost burdening and measure of disadvantaged needs better calibration with what people actually experience, especially in wealthy coastal California

 

Articles

“The methods for calculating the current poverty measure, largely unchanged

since the 1960s, have been criticized by many researchers. In response, the Census

Bureau has led a two-decade process of research and discussion of poverty measurement with an eye to revising the official measure.” https://harris.uchicago.edu/files/identifythedisadvantaged.pdf 

 

“Poverty is typically defined in terms of a lack of adequate income, especially in U.S. policy debates. But the experience of poverty goes well beyond household finances, and can include a lack of education, work, access to healthcare, or distressed neighborhood conditions. These additional dimensions of poverty can be layered on top of income poverty; they can also put those who are not income-poor at a disadvantage.”

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-5-dimensions-of-poverty-stack-up-and-whos-at-the-greatest-risk/

 

Robert Sapolsky: stress of poverty takes a lifelong toll on health and well-being, can’t be undone with later interventions. Upstream investment needs to start with a household not in poverty and above 300% – 400% of the federal poverty level

 

Defining and debating causes of poverty

-how you view causes very much effects how you think poverty should be addressed

-tensions between views, within and between camps, people get wound up in disputing the truth

-econ and social elements, material elements, ideology, morality, religion

-issue of how to name the buckets of how we define poverty: academics is a wide but fragmented slice with multi-disciplinary view always eroded by extreme one-bucket partisanship

-both liberal and conservative views are on a spectrum with more extreme elements as outliers

-liberal: wealth is created by all, need a collective distribution, social liberals/ morality

-conservative: individually centered, business is top, free enterprise are priorities, less regulation, social conservatives/ morality

-Fred’s take: society is obviously made up of individuals and they form communities, it is stupid to frame this is one or the other, see Frank Zappa song Dumb All Over

 

4 views of poverty

-flawed character model: poor are not working hard enough, not getting up early enough in the morning

-restricted opportunity view: war on poverty, level the opportunity playing field, people need a chance, a hand up: La Luz, Los Cien

-Big Brother view: gov‘t is the cause of poverty, handouts make welfare queens, dependence, too many regulations

-systemic exclusion view: poverty is a matter of power and class oppression, liberation from shackles of hierarchical society: socialism is the cure

 

An imperfect measure is better than no measure

-SV Latinos are in many cases outside scope of local government/ County poverty measurement and positive effects of gov’t. poverty subsidies bc of undocumented immigration status

-other measures of disadvantage, material hardships, measures of econ insecurity

-that SV economy depends on such disadvantaged immigrant labor which is then supported by philanthropy, shows that the local philanthropic model is an adaptation to serve people but not to challenge causes that create the need for such services, it’s Band Aids

-know your regional poverty rate and compare to others, depends on how and on what you measure

-global poverty and immigration: share the wealth or build a wall?,

-closed borders: SV Greens and property owners in many cases want to build a wall,

-open borders: social/ econ liberals want US to take responsibility for global disparities and history of US imperialism

-tensions between impulses to inclusion or exclusion

-Steinbeck, Grapes of Wrath, don’t run people down on their luck out of town as vagrants

 

Policy

What leeway does SoCo have to make policy?

State laws? Fed? (AFFH is a state law example)

Knowing regulations means knowing how to help and what is required (LAFCO DUCs)

 

We (the concerned) play the hands we are dealt policy-wise but also question ways in which the deck is stacked and under what assumptions, and demand more fairness and that views/ policies that go beyond maintaining the status quo get implemented

 

Acronyms

ACS  US Census American Community Survey

ADU accessory dwelling unit

SVUSD Sonoma Valley  Unified School District

COI community of interest

CDC Sonoma County Community Development Commission

HCD  CA Department of Housing and Community Development

HE Housing Element

GP  General Plan

BOS  Sonoma County Board of Supervisors

LAFCO  Sonoma County Local Agency Formation Commission

AFFH Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing

SV  Sonoma Valley

USA  urban service area

BG  US Census block group

MFH  multifamily home

SFH  single family home

TCAC  CA state Tax Credit Allocation Committee

DWR CA Dept of Water Resources

SDAC severely disadvantaged community

DAC disadvantaged community

DUC  disadvantaged unincorporated community

MHI  median household income

COLA cost of living adjustment

COL  cost of living

MHV  median home value

SoCo  Sonoma County

MA  median age

MHP  mobile home park

MH  mobile home

BA Bachelor of Arts degree

EJ environmental justice

CEQA CA Environmental Quality Act

RHNA Regional Housing Needs Assessment

VMT vehicle miles traveled

MSR LAFCO Municipal Services Review

SSP SoCo Springs Specific Plan

CDC SoCo Community Development Commissions

COC SoCo Continuum of Care

CVRA CA Voting Rights Act 

 

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